From 2003 to late 2006 we had a full fledged booming sellers market. Sellers were in control and price negotiations were almost non-existing. Home prices were escalating and many sellers would place a property on the market and have multiple offers as fast as the home could be shown. It was not unusual for out of state buyers to buy sight unseen. Buyers were excited and flocking to make competing offers. Many times offers exceeded the asking price and sellers would not consider contingencies. Sellers would laugh at offers asking for seller paid incentives. If buyers wanted closing costs they could add the cost to the purchase price. Builders could not keep up with the demand and we had a build it and they will come mentality. Buyers were buying in droves and competing for homes at top prices in a full blown sellers market!
Today we have a full blown “buyers market”. A market that buyers could only dream about a few years ago. Prices have been dropping for nearly two years. Good deals can be made and we have the best inventory to choose from in years. Mortgage interest rates are at a historical low. But wait, something is wrong! Qualified buyers are simply not buying now. How can that be? Anyone that has invested in the stock market knows you buy on the low side. We all know that you cannot time the perfect low point before an upward swing. It is just smart business to get in on the low side before the rebound.
We are well into the low side and now is the time for qualified buyers to buy! Real estate will usually follow an approximate three year seller to buyers market cycle. Buyers desiring home-ownership should consider the following:
- Will I owner occupy the home for at least three years.
- Will my income to debt ratio qualify me for a normal rate loan?
- Is my employment reasonably secure?
- What total monthly payment do I feel comfortable with?
- Could I use the tax deduction for home ownership?
- What am I waiting for, prices to climb again or a higher interest rate?
- Do I really want to wait for the price and rates to shift upward?
Simultaneously both buyers and sellers will realize the next shift upward. At that time thousands of pent up buyers that have straddled the fence will flock to the market. The rush to beat the climbing prices will create the herd mentality again. The best of the best homes will have competing buyers. Sellers will see the advantage shifting to them and negotiate less. The Fed eventually will raise interest rates again. Will you miss selecting the best home at the best price with the best ever interest rate perhaps in your lifetime?
Ron Henderson, CRS
Certified Residential Specialist
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